摘要
The MENA regions, together with the Arab Spring which started in Tunisia in 2010, entered into a change and transformation period full of uncertainties. Turkey is a part of these important and complicated regions with a significant geostrategic position. Since 2002, the AKP continued one-party rule in Turkey and it has brought significant changes that affected Turkey's foreign policy. In this thesis, the impacts of the Arab Spring on Turkish foreign policy under the AKP have been analyzed from the neoclassical realism perspective. By adopting the neoclassical realist theory, Turkish foreign policy has been examined through system level constraints and state level variables such as the perception and identity of the AKP in order to explain Turkey’s political strategies towards the MENA region. The process-tracing method and “before and after” design has been used for this single case study in order to understand the change that took place in Turkish foreign policy after the Arab Spring. This study argues that systemic factors constrained policy choices of Turkey however, the perception, ideology and increasing political power consolidation of the AKP’s in Turkey are determining factors that shaped foreign policy strategies.
摘要译文
中东和北非地区以及2010年在突尼斯开始的“阿拉伯之春”进入了充满不确定性的变化和转型时期。土耳其是这些重要而复杂的地区的一部分，具有重要的地缘战略地位。自2002年以来，AKP在土耳其继续实行一党制，带来了重大变化，影响了土耳其的外交政策。本文从新古典现实主义角度分析了“阿拉伯之春”对AKP下土耳其外交政策的影响。通过采用新古典现实主义理论，土耳其的外交政策已通过系统层面的约束和国家层面的变量（例如，AKP的认知和身份）进行了审查，以解释土耳其对中东和北非地区的政治策略。此案例研究使用了过程跟踪方法和“前后”设计，以了解阿拉伯之春后土耳其外交政策的变化。这项研究认为，系统性因素限制了土耳其的政策选择，但是，土耳其AKP的观念，意识形态和不断增强的政治权力巩固是决定外交政策战略的因素。
Abic, Ferda. The Impacts of Arab Spring on Turkish Foreign Policy Towards the Middle East and North Africa[D]. US: Western Illinois University, 2019